Welcome to my fifth article in my series of previews for Super Bowl LII. Today I will be making my final prediction including the winner, score, MVP and stat projections.
Here is my schedule for the series. Articles that already up include links to the article.
Super Bowl LII – Patriots vs. Eagles: Boston Sports Mania Preview
Monday, Jan. 29: Championship Weekend Recap and Super Bowl LII First Look
Tuesday, Jan. 30: The Case for the Patriots: How They Can Win, Keys to the Game
Wednesday, Jan. 31: The Case for the Eagles: How They Can Win, Keys to the Game
Friday, Feb. 2: Super Bowl Fast Facts and Their Significance
Friday, Feb. 2: Super Bowl LII: The Final Pick and Projected Stats
Saturday, Feb. 3: Super Bowl LII Video Preview and iMovie Trailer
Sunday, Feb. 4: Watch the big game and stay tuned for my Recap!
The Final Pick
Typically, I just predict the score. But it’s the Super Bowl, so I went a little deeper. I simulated the entire game based on my basic score prediction. Below are the final score, scoring summary and stat predictions I came up with.
Although I have the Patriots winning in the end, it will be a close one here. The Eagles are not to be taken lightly. Whether QB Nick Foles comes through or not, the Eagles have a great offense that will keep the game close. Their defense could also get on QB Tom Brady’s nerves.
I expect the Eagles to depend on their RB duo of LeGarrette Blount and Jay Ajayi against the struggling Pats run defense. I also think Nick Foles will keep up the good work despite a few mistakes against a strong Pats secondary. But, even though Tom Brady will be under a lot of pressure against the strong Eagles front seven, I think he will thrive and lead the Pats to another comeback style Super Bowl victory in Minneapolis.
Projected Stats/Scoring and Turnover Summary
Team 1 2 3 4 TOT
NE 10 10 3 14 37 PHI 7 10 14 3 34
Tom Brady to Chris Hogan for 6 yard TD. Stephen Gostkowski PAT made (7-0 NE)
Jay Ajayi for 3-yard rush TD. Jake Elliott PAT made (7-7 TIE)
Stephen Gostkowski 49 yard FG made (10-7 NE)
Nick Foles intercepted by Stephon Gillmore (10-7 NE)
Nick Foles to Torrey Smith for 2 yard TD. Jake Elliott PAT made (14-10 PHI)
Stephen Gostkowski 36 yard FG made (14-13 PHI)
Jake Elliott 42 yard FG made (17-13 PHI)
Tom Brady to Danny Amendola for 6 yard TD. Stephen Gostkowski PAT made (20-17 NE)
Stephen Gostkowski 45 yard FG made (23-17 NE)
Nick Foles to Zach Ertz for 4 yard TD. Jake Elliott PAT made (24-23 PHI)
LeGarrette Blount for 2-yard rush TD. Jake Elliott PAT made (31-23 PHI)
James White 2 yard rush TD. Stephen Gostkowski PAT made (31-30 PHI)
Jake Elliott 54 yard FG made (34-30 PHI)
Tom Brady to Rob Gronkowski for 10 yard TD. Stephen Gostkowski PAT made (37-34 NE)
Nick Foles intercepted by Malcolm Butler* [37-34 NE (Final)]
*Yes, I think Malcolm Butler will get the game-winning INT again
I’m predicting another close, exciting Super Bowl. Here my offensive stat projections.
Tom Brady: 37/55, 346 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 sack (My Projected Super Bowl MVP)
James White: 17 rush, 68 yards, 1 TD
Rex Burkhead: 11 rush, 31 yards
Dion Lewis: 7 rush, 21 yards
Rob Gronkowski: 10 REC, 104 yards, 1 TD
Brandin Cooks: 5 REC, 73 yards
Danny Amendola: 7 REC, 66 yards, 1 TD
Chris Hogan: 7 REC, 58 yards, 1 TD
Rex Burkhead: 4 REC, 20 yards
Dwayne Allen: 2 REC, 15 yards
Dion Lewis: 2 REC, 10 yards
Nick Foles: 35/53, 311 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT, 2 sacks
Jay Ajayi: 21 rush, 95 yards, 1 TD
LeGarrette Blount: 18 rush, 44 yards, 1 TD
Wendell Smallwood: 4 rush, 12 yards
Corey Clement: 3 rush, 9 yards
Zach Ertz: 11 REC, 80 yards, 1 TD
Alshon Jeffery: 8 REC, 77 yards
Torrey Smith: 6 REC, 70 yards, 1 TD
Nelson Agholor: 6 REC, 62 yards
Corey Clement: 2 REC, 10 yards
Jay Ajayi: 1 REC, 6 yards
Brent Celek: 1 REC, 6 yards
That’s all for my Super Bowl LII prediction. Stay tuned for a video preview and an iMovie trailer tomorrow that sums it all up. Enjoy the game, and go Pats!