New England Patriots Game-By-Game Predictions 2017

 

Welcome to my first NFL prediction article of 2017.  Today I’ll be taking a look at the Pats schedule and predict how each game will turn out.  The Pats may have gotten lucky with their early season schedule, but a three-game road trip to Buffalo, Miami and Pittsburgh could end their typical December dominance.  However, I still think the Pats will end up with the best record in the AFC.  Here’s how they’ll get there.

Week 1: Thursday 9/7 @8:25 PM, CBS vs. kansas-city-chiefs-logo

The NFL season opens with this tight AFC rivalry.  The Chiefs have been a challenge for the Pats in recent years.  They’re never easy to beat.  But this year, the Pats look to have the best roster in football.  Tom Brady has so many weapons this year, and this will overwhelm Kansas City.  Their 2014 team did lose to the Chiefs, but that was in Kansas City.  At Gillette, against this roster, there’s no way Alex Smith will lead his team to victory, although Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce will be tough to cover.

Prediction: W, 1-0

 

Week 2: Sunday 9/17 @1:00 PM, CBS @ nosaints

The Saints offense is just getting better.  Michael Thomas emerged last season, Mark Ingram and Adrian Peterson will make for a dynamic RB duo, and Drew Brees is still an elite quarterback.  However, the Pats gave up their first round pick for Saints receiver Brandin Cooks, and Cooks will be hungry for revenge against his former team.  Add that to a healthy Gronk, and the Pats are looking like they can kick some serious butt against New Orleans.

Prediction: W, 2-0

 

Week 3: Sunday 9/24 @1:00 PM, CBS vs. hou-texans

I’m calling it right now that the Texans will fall in 2017.  Unless Deshaun Watson or Tom Savage emerges as a quality starter, the Texans don’t have a good QB, and I see their offense taking a downfall.  They have some weapons, but they just don’t look like a playoff team without a good QB.  The defense could be tough for the Pats, but Brady will outscore the Houston offense by a mile.  We could see Brady have the kind of lights out performance we saw Jacoby Brissett put up against this team last year.  If Brissett can do it, Brady definitely can.

Prediction: W, 3-0

 

Week 4: Sunday 10/1 @1:00 PM EST, FOX vs. carolina-panthers-logo

The Pats begin October against a team that surprisingly struggled in 2016, the Carolina Panthers.  In 2017, I see the Panthers bouncing back.  The Patriots are lucky that they face Carolina and Atlanta at home.  The Bucs have also improved though, and the Pats visit them.  Carolina will use Christian McCaffrey to bring back the running game.  The defense is better and with the rushing game intact, Carolina looks like a playoff team.  However, they have not improved enough to beat the Pats at Gillette.  The Panthers will become overwhelmed by this stacked Patriots team and will look like the 2016 Panthers for a week.

Prediction: W, 4-0

 

Week 5: Thursday 10/5 @8:25 PM EST, CBS @ tampabaybuccaneers

The Buccaneers have gotten better.  Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson will make a great receiver duo, Jackson acting as a mentor for Mike Evans, and a moderate contributor himself.  This offense has been good for a couple years now.  The defense has also slowly improved.  But I don’t think this intriguing team will put up enough points to beat the Pats.  The Buccaneers have some young defense that will be under serious pressure against Tom Brady.  TB12 will come out on top here.

Prediction: W, 5-0

 

Week 6: Sunday 10/15 @1:00 PM, CBS @ Jets-Logo

The Jets may very well be the worst team in football this year.  The offense is old and is crumbling, and the defense isn’t anything special yet but has budding young talent.  There is no way that the Jets will get a W on the Pats this season, even the Pats backups in Week 17 if it even comes to that.  The Patriots are just the far more talented team.

Prediction: W, 6-0

 

Week 7: Sunday 10/22 @8:30 PM, NBC vs. atlfalcons

This Super Bowl rematch could be close.  The Falcons still have a powerful offense, led by the trio of Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, and Julio Jones.  But the Falcons still have issues despite a good offensive core and strong front seven.  The depleted secondary is a concern for them, and our receivers will be all over them.  They also don’t have enough sophisticated weapons on offense.  The Patriots have at least 8 good receiving targets for TB12.  Despite more superstars on Atlanta’s offense, New England’s balanced superteam will come out victorious at home.

Prediction: W, 7-0

 

Week 8: Sunday 10/29 @1:00 PM, CBS vs. IMG_0727

The Chargers have really polished their offense.  If healthy, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Travis Benjamin will make a great WR trio, but that’s a big if.  However, if all fails, they also have Melvin Gordon, Hunter Henry and Antonio Gates to target.  However, this offense does not match up to the Pats’, and the defense is not up to par yet in LA.  The Patriots should be all over the Chargers defense and overwhelm them big time.

Prediction: W, 8-0

 

Week 9: BYE

 

Week 10: Sunday 11/12 @8:30 PM EST, NBC @ denver-broncos-logo

Denver does not have the kind of team they had with Peyton Manning.  They got their butts kicked the last time the Pats flew into Denver.  The Broncos are now a mediocre team with a struggling offense, despite a strong defensive core.  The Pats defense will target Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch (whoever starts) and the Broncos will struggle to score.

Prediction: W, 9-0

 

Week 11: Sunday 11/19 @4:25 PM EST, CBS vs. oakland-raiders in Mexico

Technically, this isn’t a home game for Oakland but the Raiders are considered Mexico’s home team right now, and I think they will have a home field advantage.  Marshawn Lynch will be difficult for the Pats to cover, and the Raiders have an evolving QB and a strong receiving game.  They have one of the best offenses in football, and the Pats defense will have trouble with them.  The Raiders also have a decent defense so this could be a very close game.

Prediction: L, 9-1

 

Week 12: Sunday 11/26 @1:00 PM EST, CBS vs. Dolphins-logo

Miami could be New England’s closest competitor in the AFC East, but they don’t have a chance at the division win, or a win at Gillette during Week 12.  The Pats’ have an all-around powerful team that will overpower the Dolphins, especially at Gillette.  Miami has a weak secondary like the Falcons, and that will cost them this game as Brandin Cooks has a 100+ yard game.  Pats beat their division rival at home.

Prediction: W, 10-1

 

Week 13: Sunday 12/3 @1:00 PM EST, CBS @ Buffalo_Bills

LeSean McCoy might be more of a challenge to cover than Marshawn Lynch, the Bills have no receiving game, especially if Jeremy Maclin signs somewhere else.  It might be different if Maclin is here, but Buffalo would still not match-up to the Pats with him on the team.  The Bills defense is no match for Brady and his receivers, and the Patriots should blow out this team, even on the road.

Prediction: W, 11-1

 

Week 14: Monday 12/11 @8:30 PM EST, ESPN @ Dolphins-logo

I know I have the Pats overwhelming the Dolphins at Gillette, but the dynamic will be different in Miami.  I think Tannehill will bounce back from a rough game in Foxboro, and the Dolphins offense will score at least 4 TDs on the Patriots.  The defense will struggle as Miami’s offense has a better game.  The Patriots will make it close and overwhelm the Dolphins D, but it may not be enough to beat the Dolphins.

Prediction: L, 11-2

 

Week 15: Sunday 12/17 @4:25 PM EST, CBS @ pittsburgh-steelers

This classic AFC rivalry should result in a close game.  The Steelers have the best Big 3 in football, with Big Ben, Bell, and Brown.  Martavis Bryant and JuJu Smith-Schuster should also boost the offense after the release of injury prone tight end Ladarius Green.  The Patriots offense will be tough to outscore, but this powerful Pittsburgh offense might find a way to do it.  This will be another offensive shootout that will come down to the final minutes.

Prediction: L, 11-3

 

Week 16: Sunday 12/24 @1:00 PM EST on CBS vs. Buffalo_Bills

At Gillette, it will be even easier for the Pats to beat the Bills.  Chris Hogan should break out for a 100-yard game, and the Bills receiving game will be outdone by the Pats’ strong secondary.  LeSean McCoy will have a big game but the Tyrod Taylor and his receivers will struggle.  The Pats will grab a big win in this division rivalry.

Prediction: W, 12-3

 

Week 17: Sunday 12/31 @1:00 PM EST, CBS vs. Jets-Logo

I bet the Pats backups could beat this Jets team!  It would be different if they played the Dolphins in Week 17, but they’re going to win their final game this year, starters or no starters.  Either way, they will humiliate the Jets once again.

Prediction: W, 13-3

 

 

Is this Patriots team a Super Bowl team?  They have some tough competition this year so it might be tough, but they won last year, and they’ve gotten even better.  By far, this is the best team in football, and I think they can win for the second straight year.

 

2017 NFL Mock Draft: Trubisky to Niners, Tight Ends Go Early

  1. PICK NO.
    1
    CLE
    DE
    TEXAS A&M

    The Browns will be tempted to take a QB, but this guy is the best player in the draft.  The Browns need a defensive end anyways.  Garrett is the easy choice with this pick.  They have another first round pick that they can use on a QB.  The Browns aren’t going to turn down the opportunity to draft Garrett.  If the Browns don’t pick him, they will regret it.

  2. PICK NO.
    2
    SF
    MITCHELL TRUBISKY
    QB
    NORTH CAROLINA

    A lot of people are saying another defensive end will go here but that’s not what the Niners need.  They need a QB or a wide receiver.  Those are urgent needs.  Trubisky is a good fit in San Francisco and he is the best option at QB this early.  The 49ers need to draft a QB in the first round or the options for them will be slim.  They have nobody who’s a plausible starting option at QB right now.  Nobody.  They can’t pass on this opportunity.

  3. PICK NO.
    3
    CHI
    REUBEN FOSTER
    ILB
    ALABAMA
    The Bears have a boatload of holes and problems right now.  But their biggest gaping hole is at linebacker.  They don’t have a starter for one of their ILB slots.  Picking Foster makes sense for Chicago right now.  They need a QB but when you have defensive needs in this year’s draft, they come first.  The defensive class this year is so deep.  If you don’t draft someone from this class in the first couple rounds, you will miss out on the best.  
  4. PICK NO.
    4
    JAX
    O.J. HOWARD
    TE
    ALABAMA
    The Jags defense is going to be fine.  They could really surprise us this year, and I think the defense is finally up to par.  Now time to focus on offense.  The loss of Julius Thomas is huge, and another tight end out of the draft would really help fill in for him.  
  5. PICK NO.
    5
    TEN
    SOLOMON THOMAS
    DE
    STANFORD
    The Titans have another first Round pick.  Their wide receiver needs take a back seat here because of this rich defensive draft class.  The Titans still haven’t fixed their defensive problems, and the defense is holding them back.  Thomas will definitely help their case.  
  6. PICK NO.
    6
    NYJ
    DAVID NJOKU
    TE
    MIAMI
    The Jets have a lot of offensive problems.  This is one case where drafting an offensive player is appropriate.  Their QB situation is pretty bad, but the gaping hole at TE is also holding the Jets back.  They need to draft one, even if the Jags happen to take Howard.  Njoku is their backup plan.  
  7. PICK NO.
    7
    LAC
    FS
    OHIO ST.
    Ever since Eric Weddle left, there has been a problem at safety on this team. Drafting a top safety is essential for this team right now.  It will give their defense a big boost, and they need it right now.  Hooker seems like the right fit for them.  
  8. PICK NO.
    8
    CAR
    LEONARD FOURNETTE
    RB
    LSU
    I was originally against Carolina drafting a running back, thinking they were alright with Stewart, but the Panthers could use another productive running back to split the carries with Stewart.  If Fournette is still available at this point, he is a must-draft for Carolina.  Forget the cornerback needs, and if you have any kind of RB need, Fournette is a definite must-draft with extremely high NFL potential, almost as high as Ezekiel Elliott’s was.  
  9. PICK NO.
    9
    CIN
    JAMAL ADAMS
    SS
    LSU
    Wow, two LSU picks in a row.  For a good reason though, a lot of LSU players have very high NFL potential.  The Bengals have had this hole since Reggie Nelson left.  Adams is a top prospect, and a good fit for the Bengals.  He is the long-awaited replacement for Nelson.  Adams has very high NFL potential as well as some other LSU players in this draft class.  
  10. PICK NO.
    10
    BUF
    MIKE WILLIAMS
    WR
    CLEMSON
    Another WR named Mike Williams on the Bills.  This guy should be a lot better and last a lot longer though.  This guy was Deshaun Watson’s main target, a superstar that helped Clemson win it all.  For a team like the Bills, they could always use another receiver, and despite the fact that Corey Davis is actually higher in most prospect Rankings, I see Williams as the best receiver in this draft class.  
  11. PICK NO.
    11
    NO
    DEREK BARNETT
    DE
    TENNESSEE
    The Saints need to go defense here.  They have plenty of defensive holes, but they do need a defensive end, and if a guy like Barnett or Solomon Thomas is still available, they should definitely be drafted here.  Drafting a corner is an option, but the defensive line class this year is much better.  
  12. PICK NO.
    12
    CLE
    DESHAUN WATSON
    QB
    CLEMSON
    With a defensive player already drafted #1 for the Browns, this is the time to take a QB.  Watson was one of the leaders in Clemson’s championship winning season.  He will either start all season in Cleveland or replace another starter at some point during the season.  You know Brock Osweiler is not satisfactory as a starter.  The Browns need a QB, either a free agent, a drafted player or someone they acquire.  I think drafting a QB is the smartest way to go.  Not many teams would give up a quality QB, but there’s a chance that the draft would give them one.  I see Watson as someone who could succeed in the NFL.  
  13. PICK NO.
    13
    ARI
    MARSHON LATTIMORE
    CB
    OHIO ST.
    The Cardinals need some other contributors in their secondary.  Honey Badger and Patrick Peterson are good, but they need some quality players around them.  Most of all, the Cardinals need a second cornerback.  Lattimore is one of the best corners in this draft, and if he’s available here, he’s not somebody you should pass on.  
  14. PICK NO.
    14
    PHI
    JABRILL PEPPERS
    SS 
    MICHIGAN
    The Eagles defense is good but it lacks depth, especially in the secondary.  Peppers could really boost the secondary, and I think he has been underrated in prospect rankings.  Peppers is more than just one of the best safeties in this draft.  He is the best safety in this draft class, at least in my opinion.   
  15. PICK NO.
    15
    IND
    DALVIN COOK
    RB
    FLORIDA STATE
    Frank Gore isn’t going to last forever, and eventually, probably in a few years, he’ll get too old to play in the NFL anymore and retire.  The Colts need a backup option who learns over the next few years and then takes over for Gore.  They should probably draft a running back at this point, a lot of the good free agent running backs already signed, and I feel like Cook is a good fit in Indy.  
  16. PICK NO.
    16
    BAL
    JONATHAN ALLEN
    DT
    ALABAMA
    The Ravens trading away Timmy Jernigan and Lawrence Guy says something.  It’s time to rebuild the defensive line.  The Ravens must bolster their line with this pick by drafting a top d-lineman available.  If Allen, Barnett, Thomas or Garrett are available here, the Ravens have to draft one of them.  With Barnett, Thomas and Garrett gone, Allen is a must-draft for Baltimore here.  The Ravens also need a defensive end, but should look for that in the second or third round.  
  17. PICK NO.
    17
    WAS
    OLB
    TEMPLE
    The Redskins did lose some offensive power, but the front seven needs an upgrade if the offense is going to go anywhere.  Reddick will help fill some of the holes in Washington’s defense and will be another strong pass rusher for them.  The Redskins have a lot of options here for their front seven, but Haason Reddick looks like a popular name lately, and that could turn into him being picked early because of it.  
  18. PICK NO.
    18
    TEN
    COREY DAVIS
    WR
    WESTERN MICHIGAN
    The Titans need a receiver with this pick.  Personally, I think one more receiver could really boost this offense.  If Davis is drafted, the Titans offense will thrive, as the defense improves and they’ll be on their way to win the AFC South and make the playoffs.  The Titans need a boost, especially because the AFC South is wide open . 
  19. PICK NO.
    19
    TB
    RYAN RAMCZYK
    OT
    WISCONSIN
    The Bucs really need another offensive tackle right now.  Their biggest offensive weakness is the offensive line.  They have other problems on defense, but the D is underrated and the OT need is urgent.  Winston will not continue to do what he’s done with insufficient protection. Marcus Mariota got better with protection from 2016 1st Round draft pick Jack Conklin.  Winston will benefit in the same way from a guy like Ramczyk.
  20. PICK NO.
    20
    DEN
    JOHN ROSS
    WR
    WASHINGTON
    For Denver, this is early for a wide receiver, but I still believe they need a third contributor behind Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders.  Ross will give them the kind of impact they need, plus more.  They will have a great wide receiver trio.  Now they need a tight end and a quarterback to add to it.  Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch will not last forever as starting options.  They’re just not those kinds of players. 
  21. PICK NO.
    21
    DET
    TACO CHARLTON
    DE
    MICHIGAN
    The Lions need a booster in the front seven.  Charlton is yet another strong defensive end in this draft.  The Lions would gladly take him to provide a powerful player across from Ezekiel Ansah.  With that and last year’s addition of rookie A’Shawn Robinson, this defensive line could be great.  
  22. PICK NO.
    22
    MIA
    MALIK MCDOWELL
    DT
    MICHIGAN STATE
    The Dolphins still need defensive help, and McDowell should give some to their defensive line.  Ndamukong Suh and Cameron Wake are getting old.  They need to add some young talent to their defense.  Not necessarily a guy to contribute right away, more like a long term investment.  That’s just what McDowell serves as in this first round . 
  23. PICK NO.
    23
    NYG
    CAM ROBINSON
    OT
    ALABAMA
    The Giants are desperate for a tackle, especially with Marshall Newhouse on the outs.  Robinson is just the kind of powerful protection they need.  Their offensive line will be so much better with another young tackle to boost it.  Ereck Flowers did it on one side for the Giants.  Robinson can do it on the other.  
  24. PICK NO.
    24
    OAK
    CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY
    RB
    STANFORD
    Marshawn Lynch isn’t definitely coming to Oakland.  In the meantime, they need a young talent alongside DeAndre Washington.  McCaffrey would make for a great duo with Washington, and could work as a backup, third-down back or starter.  If Lynch comes in to the RB scheme, McCaffrey will still make contributions.  Lynch is old, old enough that he retired two years ago and is coming back.  He could get banged up, and that’s were McCaffrey and Washington would come in.  
  25. PICK NO.
    25
    HOU
    PATRICK MAHOMES
    QB
    TEXAS TECH
    A lot of people think that Mahomes is going to the Chiefs.  The Chiefs have interest in him, but I think he’ll go two picks earlier to Houston, and at that point the Chiefs will just give up on a QB until the later rounds.  Tom Savage will not be starting all year, and the Texans need a young, talented QB that can step in when he’s ready.  Savage will open the season as starter, but later he’ll pass on the torch to Mahomes.  
  26. PICK NO.
    26
    SEA
    FORREST LAMP
    OG
    WESTERN KENTUCKY
    The Seahawks need another offensive lineman, and Lamp is a good fit here.  The Seahawks could go tackle or guard with this pick, but in a thin offensive line class, Lamp is the best available, and that’s who you take in this kind of class at the position.  The Seahawks could upgrade their great defense, or chase another RB option, but with Lynch coming back (not neccesarily to Oakland) and Sherman possibly staying, the Seahawks need to take a lineman now or they’ll lose the chance to get anyone good.  
  27. PICK NO.
    27
    KC
    MARLON HUMPHREY
    CB
    ALABAMA
    With the hope of drafting a QB in the first round gone, I think it’s about time the Chiefs fill one of their secondary holes.  Eric Berry and Marcus Peters won’t do the whole job.  They need people around them.  Humphrey isn’t just a compliment to Marcus Peters.  If he comes through, he could be a companion to Marcus Peters, what Peters is but on the other side.  They need someone like that across from Peters, and I think Humphrey could be the guy.  
  28. PICK NO.
    28
    DAL
    ZACH CUNNINGHAM
    OLB
    VANDERBILT
    The Cowboys have a decent secondary, so they can wait on a corner.  The front seven is full of urgent needs for them, so their first round pick needs to be a front seven investment.  Cunningham seems like a good fit for them and he’s a top front seven player so I’d go with it.   
  29. PICK NO.
    29
    GB
    TAKKARIST MCKINLEY
    OLB
    UCLA
    The Packers are another team that need front seven players early.  McKinley would fill their hole at outside linebacker.  They need some linebackers because they do lack depth at the position.  If they don’t go linebacker early, they won’t be able to get a quality starter at linebacker in this thin linebacker draft class.  
  30. PICK NO.
    30
    PIT
    TRE’DAVIOUS WHITE
    CB
    LSU
    The Steelers need front seven players as well, but that can wait with the cornerback and safety needs they have.  White is a fitting first Round pick for them, it helps begin to fill the many secondary holes to fill.  White is a quality propsect that should really do his job and make a mark at cornerback.  
  31. PICK NO.
    31
    ATL
    TYUS BOWSER
    OLB
    HOUSTON
    The Falcons have needs at linebacker and now in the d-line.  Bowser would be a good fit for them and would help their weakness of strong pass rushing.  They have one guy right now, Vic Beasley.  Bowser is a quality pass rusher who should be NFL ready.  The Falcons could use a linebacker, and they may have found their match.  
  32. PICK NO.
    32
    NO
    GAREON CONLEY
    CB
    OHIO ST.
    The Saints need a corner, and fast.  Sure, they have defensive line needs and practically every defensive position needs, but they can take care of those with their 11th overall pick.  The next biggest need is at cornerback.  When Delvin Breaux is your #1 corner, you know you have a problem.  Conley will help finally start to fix the secondary needs the Saints have.  They have more than enough safeties, but they lack cornerbacks. 
    That’s all for my Mock Draft.  Watch the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 27 to see if I’m right.  If you want to make your own NFL Mock Draft and compete with other mocks on Draft Day, try the app MockOut.  I am competing against hundreds of other mocks with this one and you can make your own to compete with too.  
     

Free Agency Frenzy Days 1-2: Eagles Stock Up on Receivers, Osweiler to Browns?

The first day of free agency was crazy as usual.  Today, we look at some of the signings that have happened and look at where some of the top free agents left could sign.

Although most of the moves are fee Agent signings, the Pats traded for Dwayne Allen, Kony Ealy and Brandin Cooks, filling their needs at receiver, defensive end, and tight end.  Brock Osweiler was also traded to Cleveland and now they’re going to release or trade him to chase for Jimmy Garoppolo.

Jimmy Garoppolo said on his Instagram that he’s saying farewell to Boston, but apparently, it’s a hoax.  I think either Garoppolo’s Instagram was hacked, or Garoppolo has inside information that wasn’t supposed to be released.  Or he’s trying to up his value.  Who knows?  This is the craziest story I’ve heard since DeflateGate.
Photo Credit: NFL

Alshon Jeffery, Torrey Smith Sign With Eagles

The Eagles really loaded up on wide receivers. They signed both Jeffery and Smith to multiple year deals. With that, the Eagles are definitely an NFC East threat. Ryan Mathews should be good for running back, and now Carson Wentz has plenty of weapons to throw to. However, there’s another team besides Dallas and the Eagles that will make the NFC East extremely tight.

Giants Grab Brandon Marshall, Negotiating With Adrian Peterson

The Giants released Victor Cruz and Rashad Jennings to begin the off-season and looked ready to rebuild. However, they signed Brandon Marshall to make their receiving game loaded. They still need a tight end, and could use a decent running back, but are in negotiations with Adrian Peterson. Right now, the Giants would not compete with Philly and Dallas but if they sign AP, they could contend.

Jackson and Garçon Leave Redskins for Other Teams

DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garçon are out of Washington. The ‘Skins need to make a move but do have some decent receivers as it is. Jackson signed in Tampa Bay, where a second receiver was definitely needed. Meanwhile, Pierre Garçon will help San Francisco’s disaster at wide receiver. The Niners still need a star receiver, but Pierre Garçon will help.

Okung, Reiff, Whitworth, Zeitler, Kalil Reach Agreements

Matt Kalil joined his brother in Carolina, replacing Mike Remmers. Riley Reiff left Detroit to replace Kalil in Minnesota. Russell Okung signed with the Chargers to help their problematic o-line, and Whitworth and Zeitler signed elsewhere, Zeitler going to the Browns and Whitworth heading for the Rams.

Campbell Headed to Jacksonville

With Jared Odrick being released, the Jaguars made a big defensive move, signing former Cardinal Calais Campbell. Campbell was a star defenseman for the Cardinals and will help the Jaguars defense continue to improve. This defense is getting pretty good and is getting a lot better.

Stephon Gillmore to Patriots

The Pats signed top corner Stephon Gillmore. This will likely be to replace Malcolm Butler, but if Butler sticks around, the Pats will have one of the best secondaries in the league. Gillmore, Butler, McCourty and Chung are all strong players.

Bennett Signs With Packers

Martellus Bennett was allowed by the Pats to test the market after New England traded for Dwayne Allen.  The Packers are one of a few teams looking for a good tight end, and they got their guy in Bennett.  He will take a crucial role in another dominant offense.

LBs Timmons, Dansby Sign

Lawrence Timmons and Karlos Dansby both got deals today.  Dansby signed with the Cardinals, and Lawrence Timmons signed with the Dolphins.  Both teams had a major hole at linebacker, so these moves will be very beneficial.

Those are just the biggest moves, there’s more!
Jack Doyle, Nick Fairley, Jacquizz Rodgers, Chandler Jones, Kenny Stills, Nick Perry and Dre Kirkpatrick were resigned.

image1.PNG

Top FAs Left and Where They’ll Sign

First things first, I think both Donta Hightower and Blount will resign with the Patriots, Dontari Poe will return to KC, Zach Brown will resign in Buffalo,  Morris Claiborne will return to Dallas, and Jonathan Babineaux will return to the Falcons. Here are some other top free agents who will sign around the league.

Image result for adrian peterson Adrian Peterson, RB

Prediction: New York Giants

The Giants have been chasing for him since before he was released.  This would be a good fit for Peterson, and he would be a good veteran mentor for Paul Perkins.  Peterson will only sign for a couple of years because running backs his age are bound to decline quickly, but by the time he leaves or retires, Perkins will be ready to start.

Image result for jamaal charles Jamaal Charles, RB

Prediction: Green Bay Packers

The Packers are desperate for a running back.  They’re not going to resign Lacy.  Jamaal Charles will help the running game.  Ty Montgomery will still play running back, but he can’t be the only guy in the backfield.  Charles, at least for the next couple of years will be a big help and veteran mentor to help at running back.

Image result for eddie lacy headshot Eddie Lacy, RB

Prediction: Oakland Raiders

The Raiders do need a replacement for Latavius Murray.  DeAndre Washington can take over eventually, but for the next few years, Lacy can help lead the backfield.  If he gets hurt, then Washington can take over.  But if not, Lacy will dominate and help lead the Raiders back to contention.

Image result for latavius murray headshot Latavius Murray, RB

Prediction: Washington Redskins

Clearly, the Redskins need a running back, and the Raiders are letting Murray test the market.  The Redskins currently have Rob Kelley leading the backfield.  Signing Murray would really boost that backfield, and Murray will sign for multiple years.

Image result for connor barwin headshot Connor Barwin, DE

Prediction: Chicago Bears

The Bears really need some work for their defensive line.  Barwin was just released but the Bears are desperate.  I also think Mario Williams, who’s been released two off-seasons straight, will end up with the Bears on a small deal.  However, Barwin will be the better signing.

Image result for demarcus ware headshot DeMarcus Ware, OLB

Prediction: New York Giants

The Giants really need a linebacker.  They have more money than most teams in the league, they have a big market.  So Ware could end up on the Titans, Browns or Lions, but the Giants are a more realistic path for Ware to take.  He could get the money he wants in New York, and he will continue to improve this defense.

Darrelle Revis, CB

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

Revis Island will not be dominant anymore, but he has a couple more years in him, and he would be a nice veteran mentor for the Chiefs secondary.  He will only be there for two or three years before retiring, but that will be enough time to season the younger players.

So, those are my predictions and thoughts.  Comment your thoughts.

Best Super Bowl Ever: Pats Win 5th Ring in OT Miracle

Image result for tom brady super bowl li trophy

Best, Super Bowl, ever.  It’s a miracle.  I’m still in disbelief.  This was the greatest comeback ever.  The first Super Bowl overtime ever.  The Pats had comeback all the way.  They had scored on two flawless drives in a row, now it was 28-28.  The first Super Bowl overtime ever had begun.

The toss was about to happen.  The Pats called their usual heads, and won the toss.  They marched down the field, treated it like their regular, weekly business.  It was great pass after great pass.  The Pats had made it to the 15 yard line.  They threw to Bennett.  It looked like a touchdown.  It was incomplete, but a flag was down.  It was pass interference!  The Pats got the ball at the 2.The Pats tried to find Bennett again.  The Falcons almost intercepted it, and ended their game like the Pats did to Seattle.  But it was an incomplete pass.  The Pats didn’t make the same mistake twice though.  White ran it, and it was a touchdown!  James White just made it in!  The Pats had won their 5th Super Bowl!!!

The Pats had made a 25 point comeback to win the game.  I thought it was all over when Atlanta scored their fourth TD.  The Pats were down by 25, and they won!!  The next biggest comeback in the Super Bowl was a 10 point comeback.  The Patriots have shattered records, and made history.   Brady leads all QBs in Super Bowl wins, and will forever be regarded as the G.O.A.T.  Belichick will be regarded as the best coach ever.  The Patriots have the best sports dynasty ever.

To begin the game, the Pats didn’t win the opening toss, and the Falcons deferred.  The Patriots were hoping for a good drive, but instead went 3 and out.  The Falcons got the ball and on their first play, Devonta Freeman ran it for 37 yards.  The defense was fooled by the play!  They just couldn’t keep up.  However, the Pats were able to stuff Matt Ryan and end the drive.  Things went like that throughout the 1st quarter.  There was a lot of sloppy play by both teams early.  To start the 2nd quarter, The Pats even got to the opposing 40 to start one drive with an Edelman catch, but lost their drive on a fumble by Blount.  It was still 0-0.  But after the fumble recovery, the Falcons went wild.  Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman led an amazing drive, and Freeman went on to score the first Falcons TD.  The next drive was very similar, and they quickly scored another touchdown.

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It was now 14-0 Falcons.  Many people were already starting to lose hope in the Pats, but I still believed they could win.  The Pats struggled to move down the field on their next drive, in attempt to respond.  They managed to get to the 23, but Robert Alford intercepted it, and went all the way to the end zone.

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By the time he was at the 50, he was long gone.  The odds were looking pretty slim for the Pats.  The Patriots went on a decent drive before the half, but were held to a field goal.  They needed a touchdown, and without that, things weren’t looking good when it was 21-3 Falcons at halftime.

After a strong defensive start to the 3rd quarter, I was starting to regain hope, but the great Falcons offense marched down the field for another touchdown on their next drive.  It was 28-3.  There was only a quarter and a half left.  Even I knew the game was probably over.  But shortly after, the comeback began. The Pats didn’t look great yet.  They almost lost the chance to score.  But the Pats managed to get to the end zone.  It was their first touchdown of the game, to James White.  But Stephen Gostkowski missed the PAT and there was only about two minutes left in the 3rd quarter.  It didn’t look good.

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The Pats quickly got the ball back, and managed to get a field goal.  They needed a touchdown, but couldn’t quite get it.  It was 28-12, and the odds were still heavily against the Patriots with only 9 1/2 minutes left.  But the Pats began to make miracles happen.  When Atlanta got the ball back, Dont’a Hightower strip sacked Matt Ryan and the Pats got the ball at the Falcons 25, with a little over half the quarter left!  They quickly got to the red zone, and Amendola caught the TD.  The Pats went for 2 with no doubt, and James White ran it in on a direct snap!  It was 28-20.  The Pats had a chance!

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However, the Falcons were quickly marching down the field.  Devonta Freeman nearly took it to the 50, and Julio Jones caught a 27 yard pass at the sidelines that few players could catch, as he barely got both feet in.  However, Matt Ryan got stuffed and knocked out of field goal range on the next play!!  They should’ve just ran the ball and went for the field goal.  The Pats might have lost if that happened.  Instead, on the next play, with the Patriots pass rush pressuring Matt Ryan, they were called for holding and pushed out of field goal range.

The Pats had one more chance to tie it, but they would have to go 91 yards with just 3.5 minutes left.  But these situations are what makes Brady the G.O.A.T.  In the playoffs Brady had fourth quarter comeback drives 9 times before and he was going for his 10th.  The Pats quickly got into a rhythm, with quick passes to Hogan and Mitchell.  Then, a miracle happened.  It looked like Atlanta was going to intercept the pass and end the game.  But Edelman managed to catch the ball with 3 Falcons players fighting for the ball. After it bounced around several times, he saved the ball just before it hit the ground after bouncing off a Falcon leg!!  It was the best catch I have ever seen!!

Image result for julian edelman super bowl li catch

Amendola followed it up with another great catch!!  Pretty soon, the Patriots were in the red zone, and the Falcons red zone defense that actually looked good early in the game failed again.  White ran in the TD.

It looked like the Pats made the 2-point conversion to Danny Amendola. But there was a flag. For a moment, I was nearly heartbroken.  But it turned out it was on the Falcons and the 2-point conversion was good!!!  The Pats had miraculously tied it up!!  The Pats defense actually shut down the Falcons so quickly on Atlanta’s final drive that they got the ball back in the final seconds.  Lewis ran it on a fake in the hopes of catching Atlanta off guard but Lewis tweaked his knee as he headed toward the sidelines at the 48 with the Atlanta defense in pursuit.  This game was going to overtime. It was the first overtime in Super Bowl history.

 

The Pats won the toss, and did their thing, treating it like a regular drive.  White just made it in, and it was a game!!!  The Pats won 34-28.  Brady won his 5th ring!!  The last 12 minutes of this game was some of the best football ever seen.  DeflateGate will no longer be a topic of conversation. Tom Brady, Bill Belichick, the Patriots dynasty and this game will be the topic of conversation in the coming years.  They broke some other records too.  They broke the record for most passing yards in a Super Bowl, and running back James White broke the record for most receptions in Super Bowl history!!  Yes, a running back now holds that record and also the record for most receiving yards by a RB in a Super Bowl!!

Image result for tom brady super bowl li trophy

Bill Belichick also smiled, for real!!!  He has a reason to.  He and Brady each broke or tied a Super Bowl win record, Brady winning the most of any QB, and Belichick passed Chuck Noll for most Super Bowl wins as a head coach.

Tom Brady was the clear MVP, and receivers like Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman impacted the game big time, but Super Bowls are won as a team.  On the Patriots, there is one guy that isn’t getting the credit he deserves for this win.

Unsung Hero

James White

Image result for james white

James White led the Pats with 110 receiving yards and a receiving TD. He broke the record most points scored by any player in the Super Bowl, with 20. He also had 29 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs.  That’s 3 TDs!!  He additionally ran in a 2 point conversion.  Although Brady had 466 yards (almost 2 times more than Matt Ryan), White was a Top 2 contributor in both rushing and receiving, and scored as more touchdowns than Tom Brady threw.

The dynasty lives on and Tom will likely start his preparations for the next Super Bowl after the parade as the team is already favored to repeat next year.  

Ultimate Super Bowl LI Preview: Video, Prediction and More

The Super Bowl is almost here.  The snacks are ready and the Pats and Falcons are about to face off in a great game.  So, it’s time to look a little bit deeper.  Who will win the big game on Sunday?  Keep reading to find out what I think!

Here’s my video preview for the big game:

 

 

I also have an iMovie trailer, check it out!

 

Okay, that gave you a brief preview, but it’s time to go deeper.  This may be one of the greatest Super Bowls ever.  Either team has a shot to win.  

The Case for the Pats

The Patriots are four time champions looking for a fifth.  One thing that will come to their advantage is their depth.  They have so many options on offense, and rotate the defense very frequently.  Tom Brady is on fire, and the defense is first in scoring defense and has the power to slow down and overwhelm Matt Ryan.

If the Pats win, Brady will be known as the G.O.A.T, and Bill Belichick will be known as the greatest head coach ever.  I think things are looking good for the Pats.  I really think that the Patriots were meant to win this season.  

The Case For The Falcons

Matt Ryan is trying to win the Falcons their first Super Bowl, and I think he has a good chance. The Falcons have an awesome QB-RB-WR combo.  The Falcons don’t have the best defense, but Matt Ryan and his offense have had an MVP caliber season.  The Falcons may not have the awesome past of the Patriots, but they can overwhelm a defense, and they actually looked really good this season.  I think they have a legitimate chance.  

Super Bowl Fast Facts

  • The Patriots have not lost a Super Bowl when they’ve had a Top 10 defense, they are first this year.  
  • However, the Pats have not faced a Top 10 passing QB this season, Matt Ryan is number 1.
  • Matt Ryan has won against 5 of 6 winning QBs in 2016.  
  • However, the Falcons have scored 540 points this season.  No team to score 540 points or more in a season has ever won the Super Bowl.  
  • The Patriots are 17-0 when Dion Lewis plays.  Lewis will play in Super Bowl LI.
  • The Patriots have only thrown 2 turnovers, fewest in the NFL
  • Despite ranking 25th in offensive yards per carry, they only allow 3.85 to opponents.  
  • The last 7 MVP winners to make the Super Bowl have lost

The Final Pick

Typically, I just predict the score. But it’s the Super Bowl, so I went a little deeper.  I simulated the entire game based on my basic score prediction.  Below are the final score and stat predictions I came up with.  

Patriots, 30, Falcons, 23

I think the Patriots will win by a touchdown.  The Falcons just don’t have the depth to cover the Pats offense.  Their defense is terrible in the red zone and will let the Pats score on them.  Although Brady will do strongly and throw for 2 TDs, I think we will also see a Patriots rushing touchdown.  Both these teams went from having a desperate running game to an amazing backfield.  The Falcons will also score at least 1 rushing TD.  

However, this is number one offense (Falcons) against number one defense (Patriots).  Who won the last match-up like that?  The Broncos did, they had the number one defense.  Defense wins games, and the Pats defense will pressure Matt Ryan well, and the whole Falcons offense will be messed up by it.  The Falcons have only faced three really good defenses this year, the Seahawks (twice), Broncos and Chiefs.  They went 2-2 in those match-ups, one of their wins at home.  In the Super Bowl, it’s a neutral match-up, and unlike those other teams, the Patriots have amazing offense.  They also have depth that Atlanta lacks.  So, after a grand effort by both teams, I see the Patriots edging this one out.

Stat Projections (Passing, Rushing and Receiving)

Patriots

Passing

Tom Brady, 34/54, 348 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 2 sacks

 

Rushing

LeGarrette Blount, 17 rush, 76 yards, TD

Dion Lewis, 6 rush, 28 yards

James White: 7 rush, 24 yards

 

Receiving

Julian Edelman, 8/11, 96 yards

Malcolm Mitchell, 6/14, 68 yards, TD

Martellus Bennett, 8/8, 66 yards, TD

Chris Hogan, 6/10, 65 yards

Danny Amendola, 3 /4, 30 yards

Michael Floyd, 2/ 3, 19 yards

Dion Lewis, 1/1, 4 yards

Matt Lengel, 0/1, 0 yards

 

Falcons

 

Passing

Matt Ryan, 31/50, 314 yards, TD, 1 INT, 4 sacks

 

Rushing

Devonta Freeman, 23 rush, 113 yards, TD

Tevin Coleman, 10 rush, 41 yards

Patrick DiMarco, 1 rush, 2 yards

 

Receiving

Julio Jones, 13/22, 139 yards

Mohamed Sanu, 8/11, 68 yards, TD

Austin Hooper, 6/6, 62 yards

Taylor Gabriel, 4/10, 45 yards

Levine Toilolo, 0/1, 0 yards

 

The Super Bowl is almost here.  The food is ready (hopefully).  The game is recorded, and my Super Bowl Sunday is planned.  All that’s left is the wait.  Are you ready for the Big Game?

NFL Week 15 Picks: It All Leads Up To The Playoffs

This week is all about playoff scenarios. They’re within the games. This week, my picks mean more than wins and losses. They mean who’s in and who’s out. I’m 130-77-2 this year. How do you think I’ll do this week? Keep reading, then comment your thoughts.
Lock Of The Week
Packers, 34, Bears, 20
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The Packers haven’t been great this year, but the Bears have been disgracefully bad. I do not think they’ll be able to handle a tough Packers offense, even with the home field advantage. As for the Bears offense, I think the attempted rebuild has failed. Jordan Howard has had to step in at RB with Jeremy Langford regressively struggling, Zach Miller and Jay Cutler are hurt, and their receiver options have been slim. They do have Alshon Jeffery back, but with Matt Barkley at QB, that doesn’t mean much for Chicago. The Packers should win by far.
Upset Of The Week
Bengals, 24, Steelers, 22
The Bengals may be without Giovani Bernard and A.J. Green, but they’ve actually been pretty good offensively. The Steelers rely too much on their offense, and that could open the door for Cincinnati. Their defense is not very good, and that will hurt them in this game. The Bengals have a very good defense that could stop the Steelers offense from scoring as much as it normally does. On the other hand, the Bengals offense does not have much in their way, which puts them in a position where they could pull an upset.
Ravens, 30, Eagles, 27
 Image result for ravens offense vs eagles defense
The Eagles defense, especially the secondary is overrated and the revamped Ravens offense should work around the entire defense. That should be enough for Baltimore to win the game, but the Eagles will put up a fight.
Bills, 24, Browns, 15
The Bills may have problems passing, but who cares in this game? The Browns offense will fail to score a touchdown on the Bills defense, and LeSean McCoy will go wild on Cleveland’s defense. This pick is looking like a no-brainer. I almost chose it as my lock.
Texans, 26, Jaguars, 23
The Texans defense will overwhelm the Jags. I don’t think that Jacksonville’s offense can handle them. To add to it, the Texans have a decent offense of their own and could score a lot on Jacksonville. This game should go to Houston, but and upset is more likely here than in the Bills game.
Chiefs, 30, Titans, 22
Image result for marcus mariota vs chiefs
In order for the Pats to clinch the home field advantage, they need 3 times where they win or the Chiefs and Raiders both lose.  I just don’t think this is the game for the Chiefs to lose.  The Chiefs is facing an easy defense this week, and their defense will overwhelm a young Titans team that is usually high scoring.  This is not set up in the Titans’ favor in any way.  The Chiefs even have home field advantage in this game.
Vikings, 26, Colts, 22
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This is going to be an interesting match-up.  Two teams, one just outside the playoff picture, the other that’s in “state of emergency” in terms of making the playoffs.  They are hanging in there because of just a crazy tiebreaker that would go in their favor if they won their last three, and Miami, Denver, Baltimore and Tennessee each lost at least 2 games. However, the Vikings aren’t going to make it easy.  Adrian Peterson is back so the offense will be better.  They will be overwhelming on defense, and work around a weak Colts defense.  They should also force lots of turnovers.
Giants, 34, Lions, 30
Image result for eli manning vs lions
This game means a lot.  With a win and a Packers loss, the Lions clinch the division.  The Giants can clinch a playoff berth with a win, and losses for the Redskins, Vikings, and Packers.  The Packers losing, is that going to happen this week?!  Probably not.  But still, this win means a lot in these teams’ playoff campaigns.  I think the Giants offense will be too much for the Lions D, and grab a win at home.
Cardinals, 31, Saints, 30
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The Cardinals released Michael Floyd this week.  Will that cost them this game?  I don’t think the release will cost Arizona the game, but it will narrow their options at receiver.  However, it will be J.J. Nelson’s time to shine, and he could very well come through.  Jermaine Gresham is another option.  But if either of these teams lose, they are out of playoff contention.  It will be tough for both teams, the Cardinals will have trouble with the Saints offense, and the Saints defense leaves an opportunity for an easy Cardinals win.  I don’t feel like the Cardinals defense is the defense to blow a win like that.
Patriots, 22, Broncos, 19
Image result for tom brady vs denver defense
The rivalry of Brady and Manning is gone, but Brady’s still looking for revenge on the team that ended two of his last three seasons.  They won’t be the same team, they still have a very strong defense that will keep this scoring, but if the Patriots defense can build on its performance on Monday, then covering the Broncos will be easy if they can win the turnover game and get to Denver’s QB.  I think either team will win, but this isn’t just another win if the Pats win. The win would clinch the AFC East for the Pats, and a first round bye.
Raiders, 35, Chargers, 20
Image result for derek carr vs chargers
Against a weak Chargers defense, Derek Carr and a revamped Raiders offense is ready to annihilate San Diego.  The Chargers offense can’t do much about it.  They are without Keenan Allen, Danny Woodhead and now Melvin Gordon.  The Raiders will be too much for their entire team to handle.
Falcons, 24, 49ers, 22
I don’t think the Falcons are that good,  by they have a seriously easy schedule, and this game should be an easy win for Atlanta.  The 49ers offense just won’t be able to score enough to outscore a strong Falcons offense, that shouldn’t be limited too badly by the Niners D.
Sunday Night Football
Cowboys, 33, Buccaneers, 23
The Cowboys did lose to the Giants, but they’re not losing this game, against the Bucs.  The Bucs are doing well, but don’t match up to the Cowboys in Dallas.  Maybe the Giants have the Cowboys’ formula, but they should win their other games.  At a record of 11-2, you’d expect them to continue to dominate on offense and win this home game.
Monday Night Football
Redskins, 31, Panthers, 26
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The Panthers have been slightly better, but the Redskins have actually done pretty well, and Josh Norman will look for revenge on his old team.  The Panthers are no match for the Redskins, especially without Josh Norman.  It’s like if you took Josh Norman out of this game, it would all be a snooze fest and both these teams would be bad.  But the Redskins have signed him, and it’s paying off, especially when their receiver depth will help them against a weak Panthers secondary.  That could cost Carolina the game, not having a good corner.
TNF
Seahawks, 20, Rams, 15
I knew this would be pretty low scoring.  The Seahawks offense didn’t need to score that much, their defense was just too good for LA.  Like I thought, the Rams couldn’t score a touchdown.
Saturday Night’s Game
Jets, 26, Dolphins, 20 Final OT
It was actually very hard to pick this game.  It was Bryce Petty vs. Matt Moore. I ended up just taking the home team.  But really, the rest of the Dolphins’ team is a whole lot better.  They have a better run defense, better receivers (with Eric Decker on IR), and a running back that is now better.

NFL Three Quarter Report: Patriots Current State and My Playoff Machine Scenario

The Patriots have continued to thrive since the second half began.  Sure, they’ve had some flaws.  The defense has been worrying me lately.  They dropped a home game to Seattle because of it.  Their offense had looked a little bit different, more under pressure than usual.  They haven’t been throwing to guys like Martellus Bennett.  Most of the passes are now going to Julian Edelman and emerging receiver Malcolm Mitchell.  Mitchell has been a main factor in the Pats receiving game since the bye.  Dion Lewis is now back, creating some depth in the run game, which they’re using to their advantage.

In Week 10 however, Gronk took a serious hit in the head.  We later found out that he also took a hit to the lung.  He was looking ready to go in Week 13, but doctors found that he had a herniated disc, and needed back surgery. He was out for the season, placed on IR.  Last week against the Rams, the Patriots showed that their new offense was still a scoring offense, and that their run game could help contribute to that.  The Patriots won the game 26-10.  It was a clinic.  The Pats shut them out 17-0 in the 1st half, and continued a long streak of wins in a row at home when leading at halftime, despite being outscored in the 2nd half as the Rams attempted at a comeback.  With Tavon Austin, they might have had two TDs, but this was a good game.  It gives me higher hopes about this Monday night’s game.  It gives me higher hopes for the remainder of the year.  If the Pats want that home field advantage bad enough, they’ll go out there, win 3 or 4 games, and work hard and do their job through all 4.

Playing Around With The Playoff Machine

There are a lot of what if’s when it comes to the playoffs.  Lots of scenarios.  Well, by making my best predictions I could of the next 4 weeks, I simulated what in my opinion, is the most likely playoff scenario.  The question is, who’s in, and who’s out?



Who’s In

Denver Broncos; 8-4, Projection: 11-5

This Denver offense has been terrible.  But they’re 8-4 with one of the best defenses in the league.  Their remaining schedule is at the Titans, vs. the Patriots, at the Chiefs and vs. the Raiders.  Personally, I think those games are winnable, if they produce on offense.  They should win some, and lose some.  I think they should come out victorious in at least two.  Derek Carr usually struggles against Denver, and the Patriots haven’t won in Denver in a while.  They will probably beat two of the three match-ups besides the tough one in KC.  That looks like a one way ticket to playoff town.

Pittsburgh Steelers; 7-5; Projection: 9-7

Sure, the Steelers don’t have the greatest remaining schedule.  It is okay though, and their only division competitor, the Ravens, have a very tough remaining schedule, so it will be tough for them to match up to Pittsburgh in these last 4 weeks, as Pittsburgh should navigate their schedule decently.

Houston Texans; 6-6; Projection; 9-7

A friend of mine said that he thinks the Texans aren’t winning another game this year.  I don’t think so.  They are 6-6, but they have an easy remaining schedule.  The Colts, Jaguars, Bengals and Titans remain.  The Titans could pose a challenge, but I think the Texans will pull a big upset over the Colts this week.  Brock Osweiler will lead them to the top of their division, despite a potential loss in Tennessee to tighten the race.  By that point it will already be too late.  The Texans will have clinched their weak division.

Atlanta Falcons; 7-5; Projection: 10-6

I have been giving the Falcons hate all year, but honestly, let’s face the facts.  Their remaining schedule is against the Rams, Niners, Panthers and Saints, some of the worst NFC teams.  They should win at least two or three of those games.  That should be enough to get past Tampa Bay, who still has a game against Dallas, and can’t count on sweeping New Orleans or Carolina.  The Falcons have safer match-ups.  They play the 49ers, and the Rams!  So they’ve earned themselves a playoff spot, as long as they take advantage of these easily winnable games.

Washington Redskins; 6-5-1; Projection: 9-6-1

The Redskins have what would’ve looked like a tough schedule to end the year, if Carolina and Philly hadn’t completely flopped since.  The Giants could also lose to Washington at home.  The Redskins can produce on offense, and have a great defense now.  I could see them taking advantage of that and squeezing into the playoffs last-minute.

Detroit Lions; 8-4; Projection: 10-6

The Lions have themselves a secure spot as long as they win an easy match-up against the Bears this week, and can beat the Packers.  Beating the Packers doesn’t seem like as big a challenge to them as it would’ve in Week 1.  It’s a home game, and the Lions are 5-1 at home this year.  They also face a now problematic Packers team that isn’t going to be as tough to face.  The Lions should win the NFC North and grab their playoff spot.

Who’s Out

Buffalo Bills; 6-6; Projection: 10-6

The Bills are only 6-6 for a reason.  They have only played 5 home games so far.  The rest of their schedule looks somewhat easy.  The issue is, they’ve already gotten themselves out of contention by losing 6 games early on and they have tough competition for the wild card with in the AFC.  They aren’t beating the Pats out in the division, and they aren’t beating out Oakland and Denver in a tough wild card race.

Baltimore Ravens; 7-5; Projection: 8-8

Like I said before, the Ravens have a really tough schedule for the rest of this year, and with that, it will be hard to beat out a powerful Steelers offensive team for a division title.  Although the Bengals are out of it, they have been really good lately and could bring losses to Baltimore and Pittsburgh at home.  Baltimore also goes to Pittsburgh, so they’re at a disadvantage.

Green Bay Packers; 6-6; Projection: 9-7

Originally I thought the Packers could still have a shot at the playoffs, and I thought that these struggles were a fluke, but, boy, I was so wrong.  The Packers are at the point where they need to win all their remaining games to get to the playoffs.  It’s going to be tough for them to get in.  They’re not the same team.  I think if they can grab a win this week at home, all they need to get

Tampa Bay Buccaneers; 7-5; Projection: 9-7

The Buccaneers have been on fire since their bye, but the remaining schedule could be tough.  I’d be shocked if they can beat the Cowboys in Dallas, the team with an 11 game win streak.  They also have three divisional games left, one on the road in New Orleans.  It’s not just some tough games for them, as their schedule isn’t too bad overall, it’s that the Falcons have one of the easiest remaining schedules.

Minnesota Vikings; 6-6; Projection: 8-8

Minnesota now finds themselves in a tough division.  The Lions are flying, and the Packers are still decent, so it’ll be tough for them to get in, especially with the Giants feeling good in that 5th seed.  The mediocre schedule doesn’t help, all the teams they face aren’t terrible, and both their road games could go either way.  The way their offense has been doing isn’t promising, despite bad D.  I think that the Jaguars will even outscore them this week.

Miami Dolphins; 7-5; Projection: 8-8

The Dolphins did look impressive during their winning streak.  But that’s over.  They got annihilated last week, knocking them out of their system.  They now face a tough remaining schedule, with no current momentum.  They could continue to collapse and get annihilated, and after the loss, I don’t think the playoffs is happening for them.

Have different thoughts?  Comment your thoughts, or send me your Playoff Machine or Playoff Predictor simulations.